Boca Juniors — La Union
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Boca Juniors are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 88:82 — 169 points in total.
Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Boca Juniors +3.4, La Union +0.7 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Boca Juniors — No. 11, 3–3; La Union — No. 6, 2–2.
- Last 5 meetings: Boca Juniors 3 wins, La Union 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Boca Juniors 12, La Union 6.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Boca Juniors — La Union | 87.8–81.5 | |
| Total over 168.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 168.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Boca Juniors points
- La Union points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 29.10Regatas95:83
- 24.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy80:72
- 22.10away · Argentino82:84
- 13.10away · Olimpico80:93
- 11.10away · Quimsa96:105
- 04.11Argentino75:57
- 16.10Racing de Chivilcoy68:74
- 07.10away · Platense90:86
- 05.10away · Gimnasia86:92
- 03.05away · Independiente de Oliva92:97
Head to head
- 28.03.2026La Union — Boca Juniors83:93
- 18.10.2025Boca Juniors — La Union80:77 OT
- 07.05.2025La Union — Boca Juniors97:92 OT
- 21.01.2025Boca Juniors — La Union97:91
- 29.03.2024La Union — Boca Juniors83:81
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Instituto de Cordoba | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | La Union | 2 | 2 | .500 | 3 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Platense | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Olimpico | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Boca Juniors | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lanus | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- 78221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —150.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →