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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)

Gimnasia — Obera TC

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Model prediction for 10 November

Gimnasia78%
Obera TC22%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Gimnasia are clear favourites: 78% against 22% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 80:71 — 150 points in total.

Over 149.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Gimnasia +3.8, Obera TC −1.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Gimnasia — No. 3, 7–2; Obera TC — No. 17, 1–4.
  • Gimnasia: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Gimnasia 3 wins, Obera TC 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Gimnasia — Obera TC79.7–70.6
Total over 149.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 149.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Gimnasia points
  • Obera TC points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Gimnasia

  • 04.11away · Atenas79:76
  • 02.11away · Instituto de Cordoba58:57
  • 29.10Ferro73:61
  • 13.10away · Argentino87:82
  • 11.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy78:72

Obera TC

  • 18.10away · San Lorenzo78:73
  • 17.10away · Platense80:86
  • 14.10Racing de Chivilcoy78:84
  • 10.10away · Lanus58:67
  • 08.10away · Boca Juniors73:96

Head to head

  • 28.03.2026Obera TC — Gimnasia83:84 OT
  • 15.12.2025Gimnasia — Obera TC80:87
  • 08.03.2025Gimnasia — Obera TC64:62
  • 23.10.2024Obera TC — Gimnasia76:72
  • 28.03.2024Gimnasia — Obera TC85:82

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPenarol651.8331
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsGimnasia972.7780.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAtenas642.6672
16San Lorenzo413.2504
17, Relegation play-offObera TC514.2004.5
18, Relegation play-offSan Martin606.0006

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →