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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Boca Juniors — San Martin

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Model prediction for 7 November

Boca Juniors84%
San Martin16%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Boca Juniors are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:78 — 169 points in total.

Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Boca Juniors +3.4, San Martin −5.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Boca Juniors — No. 11, 3–3; San Martin — No. 18, 0–6.
  • San Martin: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Boca Juniors 4 wins, San Martin 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Boca Juniors — San Martin90.5–78.5
Total over 168.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 168.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Boca Juniors points
  • San Martin points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Boca Juniors

  • 29.10Regatas95:83
  • 24.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy80:72
  • 22.10away · Argentino82:84
  • 13.10away · Olimpico80:93
  • 11.10away · Quimsa96:105

San Martin

  • 30.10away · Lanus72:81
  • 28.10away · Penarol76:95
  • 21.10Olimpico86:106
  • 11.10away · Argentino79:82
  • 09.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy123:126

Head to head

  • 01.05.2026San Martin — Boca Juniors97:101
  • 28.04.2026Boca Juniors — San Martin83:81
  • 25.04.2026Boca Juniors — San Martin98:95
  • 29.01.2026San Martin — Boca Juniors85:79
  • 02.10.2025Boca Juniors — San Martin89:56

Full record: 16 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsOlimpico633.5003
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBoca Juniors633.5003
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLanus835.3754
17, Relegation play-offObera TC514.2004.5
18, Relegation play-offSan Martin606.0006

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • QuimsaLanus
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —156.8
  • San LorenzoRegatas
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —156.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →