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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

San Lorenzo — Regatas

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Model prediction for 7 November

San Lorenzo47%
Regatas53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: San Lorenzo 47%, Regatas 53%.

The model expects a score around 78:79 — 157 points in total.

Over 156.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: San Lorenzo −4.5, Regatas +0.1 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: San Lorenzo — No. 16, 1–3; Regatas — No. 15, 1–3.
  • San Lorenzo: 3 defeats in a row; Regatas: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Lorenzo 1 win, Regatas 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Lorenzo — Regatas78.0–79.0
Total over 156.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 156.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • San Lorenzo points
  • Regatas points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

San Lorenzo

  • 29.10Platense58:80
  • 18.10Obera TC73:78
  • 17.10Penarol85:92
  • 09.10Gimnasia89:73
  • 18.04away · Obras Sanitarias70:76

Regatas

  • 29.10away · Boca Juniors83:95
  • 27.10away · Lanus63:72
  • 19.10Olimpico80:83
  • 03.10Instituto de Cordoba73:63
  • 19.05Ferro85:87

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Regatas — San Lorenzo69:89
  • 17.12.2025San Lorenzo — Regatas70:92
  • 17.04.2025Regatas — San Lorenzo88:78
  • 12.12.2024San Lorenzo — Regatas74:79
  • 15.05.2024Regatas — San Lorenzo82:66

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
14Ferro624.3334
15Regatas413.2504
16San Lorenzo413.2504
17, Relegation play-offObera TC514.2004.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • Boca JuniorsSan Martin
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.0
  • QuimsaLanus
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —156.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →