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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Corinthians Paulista — Paulistano

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Model prediction for 18 November

Corinthians Paulista69%
Paulistano31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Corinthians Paulista are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 84:78 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Corinthians Paulista +5.7, Paulistano +2.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Corinthians Paulista — No. 13, 1–2; Paulistano — No. 5, 3–1.
  • Last 5 meetings: Corinthians Paulista 2 wins, Paulistano 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Corinthians Paulista — Paulistano83.8–77.5
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Corinthians Paulista points
  • Paulistano points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Corinthians Paulista

  • 27.10Franca78:48
  • 23.10away · Brasilia92:104
  • 17.10away · Mogi73:84
  • 27.05away · Pinheiros76:88
  • 24.05Pinheiros81:82

Paulistano

  • 31.10Bauru83:75
  • 29.10Franca65:62
  • 24.10away · Brasilia73:91
  • 22.10away · Pato80:74
  • 10.05Pinheiros74:84

Head to head

  • 10.04.2026Corinthians Paulista — Paulistano80:84
  • 24.12.2025Paulistano — Corinthians Paulista86:81
  • 12.02.2025Corinthians Paulista — Paulistano74:65
  • 06.11.2024Paulistano — Corinthians Paulista69:75
  • 23.04.2024Paulistano — Corinthians Paulista77:68

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, PlayoffsFlamengo431.7501.5
5, PlayoffsPaulistano431.7501.5
6, PlayoffsUnifacisa431.7501.5
12, PlayoffsBotafogo523.4003
13, PlayoffsCorinthians Paulista312.3333
14, PlayoffsOsasco312.3333

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • UnifacisaBotafogopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →