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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Unifacisa — Botafogo

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Model prediction for 18 November

Unifacisa88%
Botafogo12%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Unifacisa are clear favourites: 88% against 12% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 87:73 — 160 points in total.

Over 159.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Unifacisa +4.9, Botafogo −6.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Unifacisa — No. 6, 3–1; Botafogo — No. 12, 2–3.
  • Last 5 meetings: Unifacisa 5 wins, Botafogo 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Unifacisa — Botafogo87.4–72.6
Total over 159.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 159.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Unifacisa points
  • Botafogo points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Unifacisa

  • 29.10away · Sao Jose97:83
  • 27.10away · Mogi70:78
  • 20.10Pinheiros81:65
  • 18.10Osasco96:70
  • 30.04away · Corinthians Paulista71:81

Botafogo

  • 02.11away · Brasilia77:76
  • 31.10Uniao Corinthians80:87
  • 29.10Caxias do Sul84:82
  • 25.10away · Pato88:89
  • 21.10away · Flamengo71:81

Head to head

  • 14.01.2026Unifacisa — Botafogo77:68
  • 26.10.2025Botafogo — Unifacisa72:85
  • 17.01.2025Botafogo — Unifacisa71:83
  • 31.10.2024Unifacisa — Botafogo90:74
  • 17.02.2024Unifacisa — Botafogo96:66

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, PlayoffsPaulistano431.7501.5
6, PlayoffsUnifacisa431.7501.5
7, PlayoffsBrasilia532.6002
11, PlayoffsBauru523.4003
12, PlayoffsBotafogo523.4003
13, PlayoffsCorinthians Paulista312.3333

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 88% will not happen in roughly 12 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →