PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3) · Gimnasio Nuevo Leon Independiente

Fuerza Regia — Astros

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

77:82Came true
Fuerza Regia47%
Astros53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 77:82: the model's most likely outcome, Astros to win (53% incl. overtime), came true.

Evenly matched: Fuerza Regia 47%, Astros 53%.

The model expects a score around 86:87 — 172 points in total.

Over 171.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Fuerza Regia +3.7, Astros +6.1 points in regulation.

Facts

  • Fuerza Regia: 3 defeats in a row; Astros: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Fuerza Regia 1 win, Astros 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Fuerza Regia — Astros85.7–86.5
Total over 171.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 171.5 (incl. OT)50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Fuerza Regia points
  • Astros points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Fuerza Regia

  • 03.11Astros69:83
  • 31.10away · Astros90:97
  • 30.10away · Astros89:96
  • 24.10away · Dorados106:97
  • 23.10away · Dorados116:120

Astros

  • 03.11away · Fuerza Regia83:69
  • 31.10Fuerza Regia97:90
  • 30.10Fuerza Regia96:89
  • 23.10away · Mineros81:72
  • 20.10Mineros86:83

Head to head

  • 03.11.2026Fuerza Regia — Astros69:83
  • 31.10.2026Astros — Fuerza Regia97:90 OT
  • 30.10.2026Astros — Fuerza Regia96:89
  • 04.10.2026Astros — Fuerza Regia101:87
  • 03.10.2026Astros — Fuerza Regia74:77

Full record: 27 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSoles28217.750—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAstros28208.7141
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFuerza Regia28199.6792
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPanteras28199.6792

Season 2026 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

LNBP on the same day

  • PanterasSoles
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 75:87. Model's score: —.165.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →