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LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3) · Auditorio Hermanos Carreon

Panteras — Soles

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Model prediction and result

75:87Came true
Panteras32%
Soles68%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 75:87: the model's most likely outcome, Soles to win (68% incl. overtime), came true.

Soles are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 80:86 — 165 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Panteras +1.9, Soles +9.4 points in regulation.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Panteras 2 wins, Soles 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Panteras — Soles79.7–85.7
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)49%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Panteras points
  • Soles points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Panteras

  • 03.11Soles87:84
  • 31.10away · Soles65:83
  • 30.10away · Soles76:80
  • 24.10away · Lobos Plateados107:88
  • 23.10away · Lobos Plateados93:84

Soles

  • 03.11away · Panteras84:87
  • 31.10Panteras83:65
  • 30.10Panteras80:76
  • 23.10away · Abejas92:70
  • 20.10Abejas100:60

Head to head

  • 03.11.2026Panteras — Soles87:84
  • 31.10.2026Soles — Panteras83:65
  • 30.10.2026Soles — Panteras80:76
  • 22.09.2026Soles — Panteras76:77
  • 21.09.2026Soles — Panteras77:67

Full record: 35 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSoles28217.750—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAstros28208.7141
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFuerza Regia28199.6792
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPanteras28199.6792
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLobos Plateados281810.6433

Season 2026 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next match

  • PanterasSoles6 November · LNBP
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —165.4

LNBP on the same day

  • Fuerza RegiaAstros
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 77:82. Model's score: —.172.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →