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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Gimnasia — Platense

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Model prediction for 15 November

Gimnasia76%
Platense24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gimnasia are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 83:74 — 157 points in total.

Over 156.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Gimnasia +3.9, Platense −0.9 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Gimnasia — No. 3, 7–2; Platense — No. 7, 3–3.
  • Gimnasia: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Gimnasia 5 wins, Platense 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Gimnasia — Platense82.7–74.3
Total over 156.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 156.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Gimnasia points
  • Platense points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Gimnasia

  • 04.11away · Atenas79:76
  • 02.11away · Instituto de Cordoba58:57
  • 29.10Ferro73:61
  • 13.10away · Argentino87:82
  • 11.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy78:72

Platense

  • 29.10away · San Lorenzo80:58
  • 21.10away · Ferro81:86
  • 17.10Obera TC86:80
  • 07.10La Union86:90
  • 04.10away · Quimsa67:94

Head to head

  • 23.03.2026Gimnasia — Platense81:78
  • 08.01.2026Platense — Gimnasia72:84
  • 19.04.2025Platense — Gimnasia88:94
  • 20.12.2024Gimnasia — Platense105:71
  • 09.05.2024Platense — Gimnasia69:102

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPenarol651.8331
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsGimnasia972.7780.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAtenas642.6672
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union422.5003
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense633.5003
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIndependiente de Oliva211.5003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →