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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Independiente de Oliva — San Lorenzo

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Model prediction for 15 November

Independiente de Oliva77%
San Lorenzo23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Independiente de Oliva are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 92:83 — 175 points in total.

Over 174.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Independiente de Oliva +0.7, San Lorenzo −4.5 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Independiente de Oliva — No. 8, 1–1; San Lorenzo — No. 16, 1–3.
  • San Lorenzo: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Independiente de Oliva 3 wins, San Lorenzo 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Independiente de Oliva — San Lorenzo91.8–83.0
Total over 174.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 174.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Independiente de Oliva points
  • San Lorenzo points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Independiente de Oliva

  • 20.10Lanus108:93
  • 09.10Ferro92:97
  • 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
  • 16.05Gimnasia74:66
  • 14.05Gimnasia78:76

San Lorenzo

  • 29.10Platense58:80
  • 18.10Obera TC73:78
  • 17.10Penarol85:92
  • 09.10Gimnasia89:73
  • 18.04away · Obras Sanitarias70:76

Head to head

  • 30.01.2026San Lorenzo — Independiente de Oliva69:80
  • 17.10.2025Independiente de Oliva — San Lorenzo105:71
  • 06.05.2025San Lorenzo — Independiente de Oliva94:77
  • 08.11.2024Independiente de Oliva — San Lorenzo88:98
  • 06.03.2024Independiente de Oliva — San Lorenzo86:63

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense633.5003
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIndependiente de Oliva211.5003
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsArgentino633.5003
15Regatas413.2504
16San Lorenzo413.2504
17, Relegation play-offObera TC514.2004.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • GimnasiaPlatensepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →