Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Tuesday, 17 November, 00:00 (UTC+3)

Instituto de Cordoba — San Lorenzo

Model prediction for 17 November

Instituto de Cordoba76%

San Lorenzo24%

Model estimate at 05:41 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Instituto de Cordoba are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 79:71 — 150 points in total.

Over 149.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Instituto de Cordoba +0.3, San Lorenzo −4.5 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: Instituto de Cordoba — No. 5, 4–2; San Lorenzo — No. 16, 1–3.
San Lorenzo: 3 defeats in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Instituto de Cordoba 5 wins, San Lorenzo 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Instituto de Cordoba — San Lorenzo		79.2–70.8
Total over 149.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 149.5 (incl. OT)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Instituto de Cordoba points
San Lorenzo points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Instituto de Cordoba

04.11Racing de Chivilcoy75:71
02.11Gimnasia57:58
22.10Lanus75:73
10.10Ferro97:94
03.10away · Regatas63:73

San Lorenzo

29.10Platense58:80
18.10Obera TC73:78
17.10Penarol85:92
09.10Gimnasia89:73
18.04away · Obras Sanitarias70:76

Head to head

21.02.2026San Lorenzo — Instituto de Cordoba67:86
18.10.2025Instituto de Cordoba — San Lorenzo89:86
08.04.2025San Lorenzo — Instituto de Cordoba72:87
12.11.2024Instituto de Cordoba — San Lorenzo94:65
02.04.2024San Lorenzo — Instituto de Cordoba72:75

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Atenas	6	4	2	.667	2
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Instituto de Cordoba	6	4	2	.667	2
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	La Union	4	2	2	.500	3
15	Regatas	4	1	3	.250	4
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	.250	4
17, Relegation play-off	Obera TC	5	1	4	.200	4.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

02:01
La UnionIndependiente de Olivapreliminary
6238
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →