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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

La Union — Independiente de Oliva

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Model prediction for 17 November

La Union62%
Independiente de Oliva38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

La Union are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:86 — 176 points in total.

Over 175.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: La Union +0.7, Independiente de Oliva +0.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: La Union — No. 6, 2–2; Independiente de Oliva — No. 8, 1–1.
  • Last 5 meetings: La Union 2 wins, Independiente de Oliva 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): La Union — Independiente de Oliva90.1–86.4
Total over 175.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 175.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • La Union points
  • Independiente de Oliva points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

La Union

  • 04.11Argentino75:57
  • 16.10Racing de Chivilcoy68:74
  • 07.10away · Platense90:86
  • 05.10away · Gimnasia86:92
  • 03.05away · Independiente de Oliva92:97

Independiente de Oliva

  • 20.10Lanus108:93
  • 09.10Ferro92:97
  • 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
  • 16.05Gimnasia74:66
  • 14.05Gimnasia78:76

Head to head

  • 03.05.2026Independiente de Oliva — La Union97:92
  • 01.05.2026Independiente de Oliva — La Union83:78
  • 27.04.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva86:62
  • 25.04.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva91:102
  • 19.03.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva103:91

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsInstituto de Cordoba642.6672
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union422.5003
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense633.5003
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIndependiente de Oliva211.5003
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsArgentino633.5003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →