La Union — Independiente de Oliva
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
La Union are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 90:86 — 176 points in total.
Over 175.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: La Union +0.7, Independiente de Oliva +0.7 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: La Union — No. 6, 2–2; Independiente de Oliva — No. 8, 1–1.
- Last 5 meetings: La Union 2 wins, Independiente de Oliva 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): La Union — Independiente de Oliva | 90.1–86.4 | |
| Total over 175.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 175.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- La Union points
- Independiente de Oliva points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 04.11Argentino75:57
- 16.10Racing de Chivilcoy68:74
- 07.10away · Platense90:86
- 05.10away · Gimnasia86:92
- 03.05away · Independiente de Oliva92:97
- 20.10Lanus108:93
- 09.10Ferro92:97
- 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
- 16.05Gimnasia74:66
- 14.05Gimnasia78:76
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Independiente de Oliva — La Union97:92
- 01.05.2026Independiente de Oliva — La Union83:78
- 27.04.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva86:62
- 25.04.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva91:102
- 19.03.2026La Union — Independiente de Oliva103:91
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Instituto de Cordoba | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | La Union | 2 | 2 | .500 | 3 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Platense | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Independiente de Oliva | 1 | 1 | .500 | 3 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Argentino | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- Instituto de CordobaSan Lorenzopreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —150.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →