Lanus — La Union
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
La Union are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.
The model expects a score around 79:81 — 160 points in total.
Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Lanus −4.9, La Union +0.7 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Lanus — No. 12, 3–5; La Union — No. 6, 2–2.
- Days of rest before the match: Lanus 13, La Union 8.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Lanus — La Union | 78.8–80.8 | |
| Total over 158.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 158.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Lanus points
- La Union points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 30.10San Martin81:72
- 27.10Regatas72:63
- 24.10away · Atenas69:80
- 22.10away · Instituto de Cordoba73:75
- 20.10away · Independiente de Oliva93:108
- 04.11Argentino75:57
- 16.10Racing de Chivilcoy68:74
- 07.10away · Platense90:86
- 05.10away · Gimnasia86:92
- 03.05away · Independiente de Oliva92:97
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Instituto de Cordoba | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | La Union | 2 | 2 | .500 | 3 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Platense | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Boca Juniors | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lanus | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
| 13 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- PlatensePenarolpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —165.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →