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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Lanus — La Union

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Model prediction for 12 November

Lanus44%
La Union56%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

La Union are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

The model expects a score around 79:81 — 160 points in total.

Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Lanus −4.9, La Union +0.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Lanus — No. 12, 3–5; La Union — No. 6, 2–2.
  • Days of rest before the match: Lanus 13, La Union 8.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Lanus — La Union78.8–80.8
Total over 158.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 158.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Lanus points
  • La Union points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Lanus

  • 30.10San Martin81:72
  • 27.10Regatas72:63
  • 24.10away · Atenas69:80
  • 22.10away · Instituto de Cordoba73:75
  • 20.10away · Independiente de Oliva93:108

La Union

  • 04.11Argentino75:57
  • 16.10Racing de Chivilcoy68:74
  • 07.10away · Platense90:86
  • 05.10away · Gimnasia86:92
  • 03.05away · Independiente de Oliva92:97

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsInstituto de Cordoba642.6672
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union422.5003
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense633.5003
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBoca Juniors633.5003
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLanus835.3754
13Racing de Chivilcoy835.3754

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • PlatensePenarolpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —165.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →