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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Platense — Penarol

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Model prediction for 12 November

Platense48%
Penarol52%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Platense 48%, Penarol 52%.

The model expects a score around 82:83 — 165 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Platense −0.9, Penarol +3.5 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Platense — No. 7, 3–3; Penarol — No. 2, 5–1.
  • Last 5 meetings: Platense 1 win, Penarol 4.
  • Days of rest before the match: Platense 14, Penarol 9.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Platense — Penarol82.2–82.9
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Platense points
  • Penarol points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Platense

  • 29.10away · San Lorenzo80:58
  • 21.10away · Ferro81:86
  • 17.10Obera TC86:80
  • 07.10La Union86:90
  • 04.10away · Quimsa67:94

Penarol

  • 03.11away · Olimpico87:74
  • 31.10away · Quimsa73:78
  • 28.10San Martin95:76
  • 17.10away · San Lorenzo92:85
  • 15.10away · Lanus84:77

Head to head

  • 08.03.2026Penarol — Platense79:72
  • 18.11.2025Platense — Penarol88:89
  • 25.04.2025Penarol — Platense75:79
  • 12.10.2024Platense — Penarol72:75
  • 20.04.2024Penarol — Platense99:56

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsQuimsa6601.000—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPenarol651.8331
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsGimnasia972.7780.5
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union422.5003
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense633.5003
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIndependiente de Oliva211.5003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • LanusLa Unionpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —159.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →