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VTB United League (basketball) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

MBA Moscow — Samara

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Model prediction for 18 November

MBA Moscow95%
Samara5%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

MBA Moscow are clear favourites: 95% against 5% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 94:73 — 166 points in total.

Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: MBA Moscow −1.2, Samara −20.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: MBA Moscow — No. 8, 2–4; Samara — No. 11, 0–8.
  • Samara: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: MBA Moscow 5 wins, Samara 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): MBA Moscow — Samara93.5–72.5
Total over 165.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 165.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • MBA Moscow points
  • Samara points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

MBA Moscow

  • 01.11away · Enisey106:99
  • 22.10away · Unics Kazan56:83
  • 18.10away · Saratov83:94
  • 13.10Parma Perm93:91
  • 03.10away · Lokomotiv Kuban87:92

Samara

  • 03.11away · Parma Perm68:109
  • 25.10Lokomotiv Kuban62:92
  • 21.10Zenit Petersburg65:99
  • 17.10Uralmash Ekaterinburg75:94
  • 14.10away · Enisey70:91

Head to head

  • 22.04.2026MBA Moscow — Samara79:61
  • 04.02.2026Samara — MBA Moscow51:102
  • 30.10.2025MBA Moscow — Samara95:87
  • 18.10.2025Samara — MBA Moscow70:78
  • 08.03.2025MBA Moscow — Samara99:60

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaratov835.3754.5
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMBA Moscow624.3334.5
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDynamo Vladivostok725.2865
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsEnisey615.1675.5
11Samara808.0007.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 95% will not happen in roughly 5 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →