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VTB United League (basketball) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Lokomotiv Kuban

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Model prediction for 18 November

Uralmash Ekaterinburg27%
Lokomotiv Kuban73%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Lokomotiv Kuban are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 79:87 — 167 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Uralmash Ekaterinburg +1.5, Lokomotiv Kuban +11.4 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Uralmash Ekaterinburg — No. 6, 3–4; Lokomotiv Kuban — No. 2, 6–1.
  • Lokomotiv Kuban: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Uralmash Ekaterinburg 2 wins, Lokomotiv Kuban 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Lokomotiv Kuban79.4–87.3
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)51%

226 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Uralmash Ekaterinburg points
  • Lokomotiv Kuban points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Uralmash Ekaterinburg

  • 21.10Dynamo Vladivostok88:79
  • 17.10away · Samara94:75
  • 14.10away · Unics Kazan84:95
  • 10.10Parma Perm71:86
  • 07.10away · CSKA Moscow85:90

Lokomotiv Kuban

  • 01.11Unics Kazan107:80
  • 25.10away · Samara92:62
  • 18.10Zenit Petersburg73:72
  • 14.10Saratov96:74
  • 11.10away · CSKA Moscow84:87

Head to head

  • 29.01.2026Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Lokomotiv Kuban84:71
  • 07.01.2026Lokomotiv Kuban — Uralmash Ekaterinburg77:64
  • 18.11.2025Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Lokomotiv Kuban69:87
  • 28.09.2025Lokomotiv Kuban — Uralmash Ekaterinburg85:86
  • 29.04.2025Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Lokomotiv Kuban77:82

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsCSKA Moscow7701.000—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLokomotiv Kuban761.8571
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZenit Petersburg862.7501.5
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsParma Perm743.5713
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsUralmash Ekaterinburg734.4294
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaratov835.3754.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

  • Unics KazanEniseypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.2
  • MBA MoscowSamarapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →