VTB United League (basketball) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
MBA Moscow — Zenit Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zenit Petersburg are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 77:86 — 162 points in total.
Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: MBA Moscow −1.2, Zenit Petersburg +10.2 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: MBA Moscow — No. 8, 2–4; Zenit Petersburg — No. 3, 6–2.
- Zenit Petersburg: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: MBA Moscow 0 wins, Zenit Petersburg 5.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): MBA Moscow — Zenit Petersburg | 76.5–85.9 | |
| Total over 161.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 161.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- MBA Moscow points
- Zenit Petersburg points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 01.11away · Enisey106:99
- 22.10away · Unics Kazan56:83
- 18.10away · Saratov83:94
- 13.10Parma Perm93:91
- 03.10away · Lokomotiv Kuban87:92
- 30.10away · Dynamo Vladivostok83:72
- 26.10Enisey94:86
- 21.10away · Samara99:65
- 18.10away · Lokomotiv Kuban72:73
- 11.10Saratov91:71
Head to head
- 18.03.2026MBA Moscow — Zenit Petersburg65:83
- 07.02.2026Zenit Petersburg — MBA Moscow84:74
- 21.01.2026MBA Moscow — Zenit Petersburg83:99
- 12.11.2025Zenit Petersburg — MBA Moscow83:69
- 03.04.2025MBA Moscow — Zenit Petersburg84:88 OT
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Lokomotiv Kuban | 6 | 1 | .857 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zenit Petersburg | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Unics Kazan | 5 | 2 | .714 | 2 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Saratov | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4.5 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | MBA Moscow | 2 | 4 | .333 | 4.5 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Dynamo Vladivostok | 2 | 5 | .286 | 5 |
VTB United League on the same day
- Dynamo VladivostokLokomotiv Kubanpreliminary13872The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —177.5
- SaratovParma Permpreliminary12882The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —165.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →