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VTB United League (basketball) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Saratov — Parma Perm

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Model prediction for 21 November

Saratov12%
Parma Perm88%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Parma Perm are clear favourites: 88% against 12% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 75:90 — 165 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Saratov −10.2, Parma Perm +6.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Saratov — No. 7, 3–5; Parma Perm — No. 5, 4–3.
  • Last 5 meetings: Saratov 0 wins, Parma Perm 5.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Saratov — Parma Perm75.0–90.0
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)50%

231 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Saratov points
  • Parma Perm points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Saratov

  • 27.10away · Dynamo Vladivostok73:98
  • 23.10away · CSKA Moscow55:117
  • 18.10MBA Moscow94:83
  • 14.10away · Lokomotiv Kuban74:96
  • 11.10away · Zenit Petersburg71:91

Parma Perm

  • 03.11Samara109:68
  • 27.10away · CSKA Moscow57:79
  • 17.10Dynamo Vladivostok108:90
  • 13.10away · MBA Moscow91:93
  • 10.10away · Uralmash Ekaterinburg86:71

Head to head

  • 15.04.2026Saratov — Parma Perm60:73
  • 08.01.2026Parma Perm — Saratov78:44
  • 15.11.2025Saratov — Parma Perm67:75
  • 18.10.2025Parma Perm — Saratov93:72
  • 05.03.2025Parma Perm — Saratov79:73

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsUnics Kazan752.7142
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsParma Perm743.5713
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsUralmash Ekaterinburg734.4294
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaratov835.3754.5
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMBA Moscow624.3334.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 88% will not happen in roughly 12 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →