NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Minas — Cearense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Minas are clear favourites: 99% against 1% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 97:66 — 164 points in total.
Over 163.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Minas +10.6, Cearense −17.4 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Minas — No. 1, 5–0; Cearense — No. 18, 0–3.
- Minas: 5 wins in a row; Cearense: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Minas 4 wins, Cearense 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Minas — Cearense | 97.4–66.3 | |
| Total over 163.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 163.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Minas points
- Cearense points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 03.11away · Sao Jose53:96
- 23.10Pinheiros63:98
- 21.10Osasco69:93
- 17.04away · Cruzeiro77:86
- 15.04away · Minas56:87
Head to head
- 15.04.2026Minas — Cearense87:56
- 27.12.2025Cearense — Minas81:99
- 01.03.2025Cearense — Minas86:92
- 08.11.2024Minas — Cearense86:64
- 20.03.2024Cearense — Minas79:69
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Minas | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Pinheiros | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 17 | Caxias do Sul | 0 | 5 | .000 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Cearense | 0 | 3 | .000 | 4 |
NBB on the same day
- Uniao CorinthiansPatopreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —151.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 99% will not happen in roughly 1 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →