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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Uniao Corinthians — Pato

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Model prediction for 15 November

Uniao Corinthians73%
Pato27%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Uniao Corinthians are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 80:72 — 151 point in total.

Over 150.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Uniao Corinthians −2.7, Pato −7.3 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Uniao Corinthians — No. 9, 2–3; Pato — No. 16, 1–3.
  • Last 5 meetings: Uniao Corinthians 3 wins, Pato 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Uniao Corinthians — Pato79.6–71.8
Total over 150.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 150.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Uniao Corinthians points
  • Pato points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Uniao Corinthians

  • 01.11away · Flamengo65:83
  • 31.10away · Botafogo87:80
  • 28.10away · Pinheiros63:75
  • 23.10Minas71:88
  • 20.10Cruzeiro83:74

Pato

  • 30.10away · Cruzeiro68:76
  • 28.10away · Minas65:86
  • 25.10Botafogo89:88
  • 22.10Paulistano74:80
  • 18.04away · Paulistano71:92

Head to head

  • 13.01.2026Pato — Uniao Corinthians72:80
  • 24.10.2025Uniao Corinthians — Pato92:88
  • 23.01.2025Pato — Uniao Corinthians81:74
  • 03.11.2024Uniao Corinthians — Pato81:70
  • 11.04.2024Uniao Corinthians — Pato75:77

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, PlayoffsCruzeiro532.6002
9, PlayoffsUniao Corinthians523.4003
10, PlayoffsFranca523.4003
15, PlayoffsSao Jose413.2503.5
16, PlayoffsPato413.2503.5
17Caxias do Sul505.0005

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • MinasCearensepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →