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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Obera TC — Atenas

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Model prediction for 18 November

Obera TC64%
Atenas36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Obera TC are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 82:78 — 160 points in total.

Over 159.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Obera TC −1.6, Atenas −2.4 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Obera TC — No. 17, 1–4; Atenas — No. 4, 4–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Obera TC 3 wins, Atenas 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Obera TC — Atenas82.4–77.9
Total over 159.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 159.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Obera TC points
  • Atenas points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Obera TC

  • 18.10away · San Lorenzo78:73
  • 17.10away · Platense80:86
  • 14.10Racing de Chivilcoy78:84
  • 10.10away · Lanus58:67
  • 08.10away · Boca Juniors73:96

Atenas

  • 04.11Gimnasia76:79
  • 02.11Racing de Chivilcoy95:94
  • 24.10Lanus80:69
  • 13.10Ferro91:86
  • 08.10away · Olimpico91:87

Head to head

  • 20.04.2026Obera TC — Atenas78:82
  • 31.10.2025Atenas — Obera TC65:79
  • 17.05.2025Atenas — Obera TC81:85
  • 16.11.2024Obera TC — Atenas98:76
  • 03.04.2023Atenas — Obera TC96:86

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsGimnasia972.7780.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAtenas642.6672
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsInstituto de Cordoba642.6672
16San Lorenzo413.2504
17, Relegation play-offObera TC514.2004.5
18, Relegation play-offSan Martin606.0006

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • Racing de ChivilcoyLanuspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —156.1
  • RegatasQuimsapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —156.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →