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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Regatas — Quimsa

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Model prediction for 18 November

Regatas40%
Quimsa60%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Quimsa are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 77:80 — 156 points in total.

Over 155.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Regatas +0.1, Quimsa +6.9 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Regatas — No. 15, 1–3; Quimsa — No. 1, 6–0.
  • Regatas: 3 defeats in a row; Quimsa: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Regatas 1 win, Quimsa 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Regatas — Quimsa76.5–79.7
Total over 155.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 155.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Regatas points
  • Quimsa points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Regatas

  • 29.10away · Boca Juniors83:95
  • 27.10away · Lanus63:72
  • 19.10Olimpico80:83
  • 03.10Instituto de Cordoba73:63
  • 19.05Ferro85:87

Quimsa

  • 31.10Penarol78:73
  • 26.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy68:54
  • 24.10away · Argentino78:76
  • 11.10Boca Juniors105:96
  • 06.10Atenas83:77

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Quimsa — Regatas69:70
  • 06.11.2025Regatas — Quimsa66:75
  • 01.03.2025Regatas — Quimsa63:72
  • 17.10.2024Quimsa — Regatas103:85
  • 02.04.2024Regatas — Quimsa86:90

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsQuimsa6601.000—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPenarol651.8331
14Ferro624.3334
15Regatas413.2504
16San Lorenzo413.2504

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • Obera TCAtenaspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.3
  • Racing de ChivilcoyLanuspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —156.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →