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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

San Antonio Spurs — Detroit Pistons

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Model prediction for 18 November

San Antonio Spurs64%
Detroit Pistons36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 113:108 — 220 points in total.

Over 220.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • San Antonio Spurs without Tobias Harris: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.
  • Detroit Pistons without Jalen Duren: that costs the team about 5.3 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: San Antonio Spurs — No. 9, 5–2; Detroit Pistons — No. 3, 6–1.
  • San Antonio Spurs: 5 wins in a row; Detroit Pistons: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Antonio Spurs 3 wins, Detroit Pistons 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Antonio Spurs — Detroit Pistons112.6–107.8
Total over 220.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 220.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Detroit Pistons points
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Form

San Antonio Spurs

  • 03.11Utah Jazz119:97
  • 01.11Minnesota Timberwolves121:111
  • 29.10away · Utah Jazz117:111
  • 28.10Sacramento Kings130:103
  • 25.10away · Dallas Mavericks122:106

Detroit Pistons

  • 03.11away · Charlotte Hornets124:91
  • 31.10away · Brooklyn Nets110:94
  • 29.10Charlotte Hornets97:89
  • 28.10away · New York Knicks97:111
  • 26.10away · Philadelphia 76ers106:93

Head to head

  • 06.03.2026San Antonio Spurs — Detroit Pistons121:106
  • 24.02.2026Detroit Pistons — San Antonio Spurs103:114
  • 26.03.2025Detroit Pistons — San Antonio Spurs122:96
  • 22.02.2025San Antonio Spurs — Detroit Pistons110:125
  • 14.04.2024San Antonio Spurs — Detroit Pistons123:95

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferencePhiladelphia 76ers871.875—
2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceDetroit Pistons761.8570.5
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceBoston Celtics752.7141.5

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceOklahoma City Thunder752.7141.5
6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceSan Antonio Spurs752.7141.5
7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceGolden State Warriors853.6252

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →