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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Toronto Raptors — New York Knicks

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Model prediction for 18 November

Toronto Raptors53%
New York Knicks47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Toronto Raptors 53%, New York Knicks 47%.

The model expects a score around 110:109 — 220 points in total.

Over 219.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Toronto Raptors without Kawhi Leonard: that costs the team about 5.4 points a game.
  • Pace: Toronto Raptors 102.1, New York Knicks 99.1 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • League table: Toronto Raptors — No. 13, 4–3; New York Knicks — No. 18, 3–4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Toronto Raptors 0 wins, New York Knicks 5.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Toronto Raptors — New York Knicks110.4–109.2
Total over 219.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 219.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Toronto Raptors points
  • New York Knicks points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Toronto Raptors

  • 03.11away · Los Angeles Clippers125:118
  • 02.11away · Los Angeles Lakers125:131
  • 31.10Orlando Magic114:121
  • 29.10Orlando Magic129:99
  • 26.10away · Minnesota Timberwolves94:117

New York Knicks

  • 03.11Brooklyn Nets103:90
  • 31.10away · Philadelphia 76ers93:98
  • 29.10away · Chicago Bulls133:127
  • 28.10Detroit Pistons111:97
  • 26.10Orlando Magic102:111

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026New York Knicks — Toronto Raptors112:95
  • 04.03.2026Toronto Raptors — New York Knicks95:111
  • 29.01.2026Toronto Raptors — New York Knicks92:119
  • 01.12.2025New York Knicks — Toronto Raptors116:94
  • 05.02.2025Toronto Raptors — New York Knicks115:121

Full record: 25 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceCleveland Cavaliers743.5712.5
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceToronto Raptors743.5712.5
6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceWashington Wizards743.5712.5
7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceAtlanta Hawks844.5003
8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceNew York Knicks734.4293.5
9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceCharlotte Hornets835.3754

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →