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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

San Pablo Burgos — Unicaja

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Model prediction for 21 November

San Pablo Burgos49%
Unicaja51%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: San Pablo Burgos 49%, Unicaja 51%.

The model expects a score around 88:89 — 177 points in total.

Over 176.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: San Pablo Burgos −1.3, Unicaja +2.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: San Pablo Burgos — No. 13, 2–4; Unicaja — No. 10, 3–3.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Pablo Burgos 3 wins, Unicaja 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Pablo Burgos — Unicaja88.3–88.6
Total over 176.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 176.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • San Pablo Burgos points
  • Unicaja points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

San Pablo Burgos

  • 01.11away · Real Madrid79:90
  • 28.10Rigas Zelli71:79
  • 24.10away · Manresa99:81
  • 21.10away · Tortona79:89
  • 17.10Obradoiro CAB72:79

Unicaja

  • 01.11Barcelona89:92
  • 25.10away · Breogan103:90
  • 17.10away · Manresa84:72
  • 10.10MoraBanc Andorra92:84
  • 03.10Tenerife75:80

Head to head

  • 14.05.2026San Pablo Burgos — Unicaja97:90
  • 13.12.2025Unicaja — San Pablo Burgos99:91
  • 08.05.2022San Pablo Burgos — Unicaja89:74
  • 13.11.2021Unicaja — San Pablo Burgos89:78
  • 27.03.2021Unicaja — San Pablo Burgos93:101

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
9Basquet Girona633.5003
10Unicaja633.5003
11Obradoiro CAB633.5003
12Murcia633.5003
13San Pablo Burgos624.3334
14Joventut Badalona624.3334

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →