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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Sao Jose — Mogi

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Model prediction for 17 November

Sao Jose40%
Mogi60%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Mogi are slightly stronger: 60% against 40%.

The model expects a score around 74:77 — 151 point in total.

Over 150.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Sao Jose −1.4, Mogi +4.9 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Sao Jose — No. 15, 1–3; Mogi — No. 3, 3–1.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sao Jose 1 win, Mogi 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Sao Jose — Mogi74.0–77.1
Total over 150.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 150.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Sao Jose points
  • Mogi points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Sao Jose

  • 03.11Cearense96:53
  • 29.10Unifacisa83:97
  • 22.10away · Bauru68:83
  • 20.10away · Franca59:90
  • 28.04away · Mogi70:81

Mogi

  • 27.10Unifacisa78:70
  • 24.10away · Bauru79:61
  • 22.10away · Franca74:90
  • 17.10Corinthians Paulista84:73
  • 16.05away · Franca77:78

Head to head

  • 28.04.2026Mogi — Sao Jose81:70
  • 25.04.2026Mogi — Sao Jose79:75
  • 23.04.2026Sao Jose — Mogi70:75
  • 22.02.2026Mogi — Sao Jose78:68
  • 20.12.2025Sao Jose — Mogi79:61

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, PlayoffsPinheiros541.8001
3, PlayoffsMogi431.7501.5
4, PlayoffsFlamengo431.7501.5
14, PlayoffsOsasco312.3333
15, PlayoffsSao Jose413.2503.5
16, PlayoffsPato413.2503.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • CruzeiroCearensepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →