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LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Auditorio PSF

Soles — Panteras

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Model prediction and result

83:65Came true
Soles76%
Panteras24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 83:65: the model's most likely outcome, Soles to win (76% incl. overtime), came true.

Soles are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 87:78 — 166 points in total.

Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Soles +9.4, Panteras +1.9 points in regulation.

Facts

  • Soles: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Soles 3 wins, Panteras 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Soles — Panteras87.4–78.3
Total over 165.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 165.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Soles points
  • Panteras points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Soles

  • 30.10Panteras80:76
  • 23.10away · Abejas92:70
  • 20.10Abejas100:60
  • 19.10Abejas102:58
  • 08.10Fuerza Regia75:92

Panteras

  • 30.10away · Soles76:80
  • 24.10away · Lobos Plateados107:88
  • 23.10away · Lobos Plateados93:84
  • 20.10Lobos Plateados88:80
  • 19.10Lobos Plateados100:111

Head to head

  • 30.10.2026Soles — Panteras80:76
  • 22.09.2026Soles — Panteras76:77
  • 21.09.2026Soles — Panteras77:67
  • 18.10.2025Soles — Panteras75:82
  • 15.10.2025Panteras — Soles83:88

Full record: 35 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSoles28217.750—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAstros28208.7141
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFuerza Regia28199.6792
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPanteras28199.6792
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLobos Plateados281810.6433

Season 2026 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next match

  • PanterasSoles3 November · LNBP
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 87:84. Model's score: —.165.0

LNBP on the same day

  • AstrosFuerza Regia
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 97:90 in overtime. Model's score: —.173.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →