PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Gimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez

Mineros — Santos

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

82:93Missed
Mineros74%
Santos26%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 82:93: the model's most likely outcome, Mineros to win (74% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 74% fails in about 26 matches out of 100 on average.

Mineros are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 91:83 — 174 points in total.

Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Mineros −0.7, Santos −7.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Mineros — Santos91.4–83.0
Total over 173.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 173.5 (incl. OT)49%

228 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Mineros points
  • Santos points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Mineros

  • 07.10Santos96:75
  • 03.10Abejas74:81
  • 02.10Abejas90:78
  • 28.09away · Lobos Plateados84:81
  • 27.09away · Lobos Plateados68:91

Santos

  • 07.10away · Mineros75:96
  • 03.10Freseros108:87
  • 02.10Freseros96:81
  • 27.09away · Abejas78:92
  • 26.09away · Abejas87:86

Head to head

  • 07.10.2026Mineros — Santos96:75
  • 25.07.2026Santos — Mineros95:80
  • 24.07.2026Santos — Mineros87:86
  • 04.10.2025Mineros — Santos109:86
  • 03.10.2025Mineros — Santos91:77

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWLPCTGB
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDorados281711.6074
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMineros281513.5366
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAbejas281216.4299
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSantos281117.39310
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDiablos Rojos281117.39310

Season 2026 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • MinerosDiablos Rojos12 October · LNBP
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 92:98. Model's score: —.168.3
  • AbejasSantos12 October · LNBP
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 82:106. Model's score: —.176.0

LNBP on the same day

  • CorrecaminosAbejas
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 89:95. Model's score: —.178.6
  • El Calor de CancunLobos Plateados
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 77:90. Model's score: —.163.7
  • AstrosGambusinos
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 86:71. Model's score: —.162.8
  • FreserosDorados
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 77:105. Model's score: —.174.8
  • PanterasDiablos Rojos
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 93:92 in overtime. Model's score: —.173.1
  • SolesFuerza Regia
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 75:92. Model's score: —.164.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →