PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

LNBP (Mexican basketball league) · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Auditorio Hermanos Carreon

Panteras — Diablos Rojos

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

93:92 OTCame true
Panteras66%
Diablos Rojos34%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 93:92 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Panteras to win (66% incl. overtime), came true.

Panteras are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:84 — 173 points in total.

Over 172.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Panteras +1.0, Diablos Rojos −2.6 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Panteras — Diablos Rojos89.3–83.8
Total over 172.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 172.5 (incl. OT)50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Panteras points
  • Diablos Rojos points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Panteras

  • 07.10Diablos Rojos77:76
  • 03.10Dorados81:85
  • 02.10Dorados91:85
  • 27.09away · Freseros97:88
  • 26.09away · Freseros94:87

Diablos Rojos

  • 07.10away · Panteras76:77
  • 03.10away · Soles43:86
  • 02.10away · Soles93:84
  • 28.09Astros67:86
  • 27.09Astros77:101

Head to head

  • 07.10.2026Panteras — Diablos Rojos77:76
  • 25.07.2026Diablos Rojos — Panteras91:88
  • 24.07.2026Diablos Rojos — Panteras80:91
  • 15.09.2025Panteras — Diablos Rojos91:97
  • 14.09.2025Panteras — Diablos Rojos87:90

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFuerza Regia28199.6792
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPanteras28199.6792
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLobos Plateados281810.6433
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSantos281117.39310
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDiablos Rojos281117.39310
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGambusinos281117.39310

Season 2026 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next match

  • MinerosDiablos Rojos12 October · LNBP
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 92:98. Model's score: —.168.3

LNBP on the same day

  • CorrecaminosAbejas
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 89:95. Model's score: —.178.6
  • El Calor de CancunLobos Plateados
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 77:90. Model's score: —.163.7
  • AstrosGambusinos
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 86:71. Model's score: —.162.8
  • FreserosDorados
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 77:105. Model's score: —.174.8
  • MinerosSantos
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 82:93. Model's score: —.174.4
  • SolesFuerza Regia
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 75:92. Model's score: —.164.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →