Egyptian Premier League, round 8 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Abo Qir Semad — Ghazl Al Mahalla
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Abo Qir Semad are slightly stronger: 41% against 25%, draw 34%.
1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Abo Qir Semad are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Abo Qir Semad — No. 18, 3 pts; Ghazl Al Mahalla — No. 20, 1 pt. A gap of 2 pts.
- Abo Qir Semad: 5 defeats in a row; Ghazl Al Mahalla: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Abo Qir Semad — Ghazl Al Mahalla What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| Abo Qir Semad not to lose | 75% | |
| Ghazl Al Mahalla not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Abo Qir Semad
- Abo Qir Semad goals
- Ghazl Al Mahalla goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Asyut Petroleum1:2
- 15.09away · Al Ahly SC0:2
- 08.09away · Zamalek SC0:2
- 02.09Al Ittihad Alexandria0:2
- 27.08away · Pyramids FC0:2
- 12.10away · Smouha SC0:1
- 16.09Zamalek SC0:1
- 07.09away · National Bank1:3
- 01.09Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI0:0
- 27.08away · Modern Sport FC0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI | 6 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Abo Qir Semad | 6 | 1 | -8 | 3 |
| 19 | El Gouna FC | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl Al Mahalla | 6 | 0 | -9 | 1 |
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- Ceramica CleopatraZED FCpreliminary4432251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- Petrojet-SuezSmouha SCpreliminary373429XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →