Portuguese Primeira Liga, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Académico Viseu — Rio Ave
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Académico Viseu are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Académico Viseu are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Académico Viseu — No. 6, 14 pts; Rio Ave — No. 14, 7 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Académico Viseu: 4 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Académico Viseu — Rio Ave What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Académico Viseu not to lose | 74% | |
| Rio Ave not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Académico Viseu
- Académico Viseu goals
- Rio Ave goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Estoril2:1
- 20.09away · Estrela da Amadora2:0
- 12.09Vitória de Guimarães2:1
- 06.09away · Gil Vicente1:0
- 29.08FC Porto0:3
- 11.10Nacional3:2
- 19.09away · Alverca0:1
- 14.09Estrela da Amadora3:3
- 06.09away · Santa Clara0:4
- 28.08Sporting CP0:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Arouca | 8 | 4 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Académico Viseu | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 8 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Vitória de Guimarães | 8 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
Primeira Liga on the same day
- AroucaNacionalpreliminary4829231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- MarítimoSanta Clarapreliminary2631432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.4
- BragaFamalicãopreliminary5726171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →