Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Ağrı 1970 Spor — İstanbulspor

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Model prediction for 27 October

Ağrı 1970 Spor14%
Draw21%
İstanbulspor65%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

İstanbulspor are clear favourites: 65% against 14% for the opponent, draw 21%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings İstanbulspor are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ağrı 1970 Spor — İstanbulspor What is xG?0.9–2.1
Ağrı 1970 Spor not to lose35%
İstanbulspor not to lose86%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.558%
Total under 2.542%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Ağrı 1970 Spor
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Form

Ağrı 1970 Spor

  • 30.10away · Esenler Erokspor0:3
  • 30.10Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu0:1

İstanbulspor

  • 03.03Boluspor0:0
  • 04.02away · Galatasaray1:3
  • 14.01Trabzonspor1:6
  • 17.12away · Fatih Karagümrük0:0
  • 03.12Sarıyer6:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →