Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Águilas Doradas — Tolima
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Tolima are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tolima are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Águilas Doradas — No. 11, 16 pts; Tolima — No. 8, 20 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Tolima: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Águilas Doradas 1 win, Tolima 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Águilas Doradas 4, Tolima 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Águilas Doradas — Tolima What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Águilas Doradas not to lose | 61% | |
| Tolima not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Águilas Doradas
- Águilas Doradas goals
- Tolima goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 14.10away · Bucaramanga1:1
- 10.10away · Alianza FC2:2
- 03.10CD Jaguares2:0
- 28.09away · Deportivo Cali0:2
- 24.09away · América de Cali0:1
- 12.10away · CD Jaguares2:3
- 09.10away · Atlético Nacional0:0
- 04.10Chicó FC0:0
- 28.09away · Fortaleza FC2:2
- 21.09América de Cali1:1
Head to head
- 01.04.2026Tolima — Águilas Doradas4:1
- 14.11.2025Águilas Doradas — Tolima1:2
- 26.05.2025Tolima — Águilas Doradas1:2
- 03.11.2024Águilas Doradas — Tolima0:1
- 13.04.2024Tolima — Águilas Doradas2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 8, Semi-final groups | Tolima | 14 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →