Swedish Allsvenskan, round 24 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
AIK — IFK Göteborg
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In short
Evenly matched: AIK 38%, IFK Göteborg 35%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AIK are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: AIK — No. 9, 33 pts; IFK Göteborg — No. 8, 35 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- AIK: winless in 5; IFK Göteborg: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: AIK 4 wins, IFK Göteborg 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AIK — IFK Göteborg What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| AIK not to lose | 65% | |
| IFK Göteborg not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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Form
- 10.10Brommapojkarna5:6
- 20.09away · Halmstads BK1:2
- 16.09Mjällby1:1
- 12.09Västerås SK1:4
- 07.09away · Malmö FF0:0
- 09.10Västerås SK1:0
- 19.09away · Brommapojkarna1:0
- 12.09Halmstads BK2:1
- 07.09away · Mjällby4:1
- 30.08Örgryte1:0
Head to head
- 05.07.2026IFK Göteborg — AIK1:2
- 17.08.2025IFK Göteborg — AIK2:1
- 29.06.2025AIK — IFK Göteborg3:0
- 21.10.2024IFK Göteborg — AIK1:2
- 27.05.2024AIK — IFK Göteborg5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Västerås SK | 23 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | IFK Göteborg | 23 | 10 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | AIK | 23 | 9 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | GAIS | 23 | 8 | +7 | 30 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →