Saudi Pro League, round 9 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium)
Al Hazem — Al Fateh FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Al Hazem are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Al Hazem — No. 10, 9 pts; Al Fateh FC — No. 16, 3 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Al Fateh FC: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Al Hazem 1 win, Al Fateh FC 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Hazem — Al Fateh FC What is xG? | 1.7–1.5 | |
| Al Hazem not to lose | 70% | |
| Al Fateh FC not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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- Handicap Al Hazem
- Al Hazem goals
- Al Fateh FC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10Neom SC1:1
- 11.09away · Al Ahli1:3
- 08.09Al-Taawoun1:0
- 05.09away · Al-Faisaly0:0
- 30.08Al Shabab1:1
- 09.10Al Ahli0:4
- 13.09away · Neom SC2:4
- 09.09Al Diriyah1:2
- 05.09away · Al-Taawoun0:0
- 29.08Al Ittihad0:0
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Al Fateh FC — Al Hazem1:1
- 20.09.2025Al Hazem — Al Fateh FC0:0
- 23.05.2024Al Fateh FC — Al Hazem2:1
- 07.12.2023Al Hazem — Al Fateh FC2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | -8 | 3 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 8 | 0 | -11 | 3 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 343036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
- 4330261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →