Saudi Pro League, round 10 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Al Hilal — Al Hazem
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Al Hilal are clear favourites: 91% against 2% for the opponent, draw 7%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Hilal are about 2.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Al Hilal — No. 1, 21 pts; Al Hazem — No. 10, 9 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: Al Hilal 4 wins, Al Hazem 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Hilal — Al Hazem What is xG? | 3.2–0.7 | |
| Al Hilal not to lose | 98% | |
| Al Hazem not to lose | 9% | |
| No draw | 93% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Hilal
- Al Hilal goals
- Al Hazem goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Al Ittihad3:2
- 12.09away · Al-Taawoun6:0
- 07.09Neom SC0:2
- 04.09away · Al Shabab2:0
- 01.09Al Ahli3:0
- 10.10Neom SC1:1
- 11.09away · Al Ahli1:3
- 08.09Al-Taawoun1:0
- 05.09away · Al-Faisaly0:0
- 30.08Al Shabab1:1
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Al Hazem — Al Hilal0:3
- 08.01.2026Al Hilal — Al Hazem3:0
- 11.05.2024Al Hilal — Al Hazem4:1
- 25.11.2023Al Hazem — Al Hilal0:9
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 1122672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 2830422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 91% will not happen in roughly 9 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →