Saudi Pro League, round 10 · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Al Shabab — Al-Faisaly

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Model prediction for 19 October

Al Shabab55%
Draw26%
Al-Faisaly19%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Al Shabab are clear favourites: 55% against 19% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Al Shabab are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al Shabab — Al-Faisaly What is xG?1.8–1.0
Al Shabab not to lose81%
Al-Faisaly not to lose45%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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  • Handicap Al Shabab
  • Al Shabab goals
  • Al-Faisaly goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Al Shabab

  • 11.10Al-Taawoun3:0
  • 12.09Al-Fayha0:0
  • 09.09away · Al Kholood1:2
  • 04.09Al Hilal0:2
  • 30.08away · Al Hazem1:1

Al-Faisaly

  • 11.09Al Ittihad1:3
  • 08.09away · Al-Ettifaq0:0
  • 05.09Al Hazem0:0
  • 30.08away · Al Qadsiah1:3
  • 26.08Al Fateh FC1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Al Riyadh82339–17-89
12Al Shabab81439–11-27
13Al-Fayha81438–12-47
14Al Khaleej80624–11-76
15Al-Faisaly70345–13-83
16, RelegationAl Fateh FC80354–15-113

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:04.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →