Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Alanyaspor — 12 Bingölspor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Alanyaspor are clear favourites: 80% against 6% for the opponent, draw 13%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Alanyaspor are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Alanyaspor: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alanyaspor — 12 Bingölspor What is xG? | 2.8–0.7 | |
| Alanyaspor not to lose | 94% | |
| 12 Bingölspor not to lose | 20% | |
| No draw | 87% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor goals
- 12 Bingölspor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Erzurumspor FK0:0
- 19.09away · Çorum FK2:1
- 12.09Göztepe2:2
- 07.09away · Rizespor1:0
- 30.08away · Eyüpspor1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Turkish Cup on the same day
- SakaryasporBursa Yıldırımsporpreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- ElazığsporErciyes 38preliminary4127331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Kastamonuspor 196624 Erzincansporpreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Etimesgut Spor KulubuGaziantep FKpreliminary1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- SarıyerAyvalikgücü Belediyesporpreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Ağrı 1970 Sporİstanbulsporpreliminary1421652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- BalıkesirsporArnavutköy Belediyesporpreliminary3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FethiyesporEyüpsporpreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →