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Austrian Bundesliga, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Stadion Schnabelholz

Altach — Wolfsberger AC

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Model prediction and result

3:0Came true
Altach51%
Draw27%
Wolfsberger AC22%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Altach to win (51%), came true.

Altach are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Altach are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Altach — Wolfsberger AC What is xG?1.6–1.0
Altach not to lose78%
Wolfsberger AC not to lose49%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Altach
  • Altach goals
  • Wolfsberger AC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Altach

  • 19.09away · Austria Lustenau0:2
  • 12.09Grazer AK1:2
  • 29.08away · LASK0:3
  • 22.08Hartberg1:2
  • 15.08away · Sturm Graz0:1

Wolfsberger AC

  • 20.09away · Ried1:4
  • 12.09Rapid Wien0:3
  • 01.09LASK1:3
  • 29.08away · Grazer AK0:0
  • 15.08away · Austria Lustenau1:2

Head to head

  • 04.05.2026Altach — Wolfsberger AC1:4
  • 21.03.2026Wolfsberger AC — Altach1:1
  • 22.11.2025Altach — Wolfsberger AC3:1
  • 02.08.2025Wolfsberger AC — Altach0:2
  • 24.11.2024Wolfsberger AC — Altach2:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10, Relegation roundAustria Wien82157–15-87
11, Relegation roundAltach82068–12-46
12, Relegation roundWolfsberger AC81257–16-95

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • SalzburgAltach18 October · Austrian Bundesliga
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • Wolfsberger ACWSG Tirol18 October · Austrian Bundesliga
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6

Austrian Bundesliga on the same day

  • HartbergAustria Lustenau
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 4:3. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
  • LASKRapid Wien
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:0.3.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →