Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Friday, 30 October, MSK
América de Cali — Fortaleza FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
América de Cali are clear favourites: 61% against 14% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings América de Cali are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: América de Cali — No. 1, 27 pts; Fortaleza FC — No. 16, 11 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Fortaleza FC: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: América de Cali 2 wins, Fortaleza FC 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: América de Cali — Fortaleza FC What is xG? | 1.7–0.8 | |
| América de Cali not to lose | 86% | |
| Fortaleza FC not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap América de Cali
- América de Cali goals
- Fortaleza FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Independiente Medellín1:2
- 05.10away · Llaneros FC2:1
- 24.09Águilas Doradas1:0
- 21.09away · Tolima1:1
- 15.09Deportivo Pasto0:1
- 09.10Millonarios1:1
- 04.10away · Deportivo Pasto0:0
- 28.09Tolima2:2
- 20.09Junior FC1:4
- 12.09away · CD Jaguares2:2
Head to head
- 23.04.2026Fortaleza FC — América de Cali1:2
- 13.09.2025Fortaleza FC — América de Cali1:0
- 31.03.2025América de Cali — Fortaleza FC1:0
- 29.09.2024América de Cali — Fortaleza FC1:1
- 18.03.2024Fortaleza FC — América de Cali0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Semi-final groups | América de Cali | 13 | 8 | +16 | 27 |
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 15 | Alianza FC | 13 | 3 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 13 | 1 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior FC | 12 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Atlético NacionalSanta Fepreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →