Brazilian Serie B, round 34 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
América-MG — Operário-PR
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Operário-PR are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: América-MG — No. 19, 17 pts; Operário-PR — No. 9, 48 pts. A gap of 31 pts.
- América-MG: 5 defeats in a row; Operário-PR: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: América-MG 1 win, Operário-PR 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: América-MG — Operário-PR What is xG? | 1.2–1.4 | |
| América-MG not to lose | 58% | |
| Operário-PR not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap América-MG
- América-MG goals
- Operário-PR goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Criciúma0:1
- 08.10Fortaleza0:1
- 03.10away · Atlético-GO0:2
- 29.09Juventude0:1
- 19.09away · Vila Nova0:1
- 12.10Goiás0:2
- 08.10Botafogo SP1:2
- 03.10away · Juventude0:3
- 26.09Ceará2:2
- 23.09away · Criciúma2:0
Head to head
- 27.06.2026Operário-PR — América-MG1:0
- 08.09.2025América-MG — Operário-PR1:1
- 05.05.2025Operário-PR — América-MG1:0
- 24.10.2024Operário-PR — América-MG1:0
- 06.07.2024América-MG — Operário-PR2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 | Operário-PR | 33 | 13 | -1 | 48 |
| 10 | Goiás | 33 | 14 | -6 | 48 |
| 18, Relegation | Londrina | 33 | 7 | -7 | 29 |
| 19, Relegation | América-MG | 33 | 4 | -33 | 17 |
| 20, Relegation | Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | -55 | 13 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 313138XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- 4628251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →