Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Ankaraspor — Kırklarelispor

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Model prediction for 27 October

Ankaraspor58%
Draw23%
Kırklarelispor19%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ankaraspor are clear favourites: 58% against 19% for the opponent, draw 23%.

The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Ankaraspor are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ankaraspor — Kırklarelispor What is xG?1.9–1.0
Ankaraspor not to lose81%
Kırklarelispor not to lose42%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Ankaraspor
  • Ankaraspor goals
  • Kırklarelispor goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Ankaraspor

  • 04.12Etimesgut Belediyespor1:2

Kırklarelispor

  • 25.02Kocaelispor1:3
  • 04.02away · Beşiktaş0:2
  • 08.01Bodrum FK4:4
  • 19.12Adana Demirspor2:0
  • 04.12away · Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →