Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Antequera — CDA Águilas FC

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Model prediction for 29 October

Antequera39%
Draw27%
CDA Águilas FC34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Antequera 39%, CDA Águilas FC 34%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Antequera — CDA Águilas FC What is xG?1.4–1.3
Antequera not to lose66%
CDA Águilas FC not to lose61%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Antequera
  • Antequera goals
  • CDA Águilas FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Antequera

  • 30.10away · Real Murcia1:1
  • 06.12SD Huesca0:2
  • 01.11away · CD Manchego Ciudad Real3:1

CDA Águilas FC

  • 30.10Castellón0:1
  • 01.11SD Huesca0:1
  • 30.11Almería1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →