Serie B, round 6 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stadio Città di Arezzo
Arezzo — Cremonese
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0:0Missed
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Cremonese to win (44%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 44% fails in about 56 matches out of 100 on average.
Cremonese are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cremonese are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Arezzo — Cremonese What is xG? | 1.2–1.6 | |
| Arezzo not to lose | 56% | |
| Cremonese not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Arezzo
- Arezzo goals
- Cremonese goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09Südtirol1:4
- 11.09away · Empoli1:0
- 06.09away · Hellas Verona0:5
- 30.08Palermo2:3
- 22.08away · Avellino2:1
- 19.09Virtus Entella0:0
- 12.09away · Cesena2:2
- 06.09Padova3:1
- 01.09away · Parma2:0
- 28.08Modena0:3
Head to head
- 30.09.2020Cremonese — Arezzo4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Padova | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
Next matches
- PisaCremonese17 October · Serie B5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- SampdoriaArezzo18 October · Serie B4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
Serie B on the same day
- 383032XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:0.2.6
- 3029412The most likely outcome came true: 22:4Final score 2:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.6
- 4630241The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 4130291The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 2727462The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:2.3.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →