Serie B, round 6 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Benevento — Cesena
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2:0Missed
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (30%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 30% fails in about 70 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Benevento 38%, Cesena 32%, draw 30%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cesena are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Benevento — Cesena What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Benevento not to lose | 68% | |
| Cesena not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Benevento
- Benevento goals
- Cesena goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Carrarese1:0
- 11.09Hellas Verona3:1
- 05.09away · Ascoli0:1
- 30.08Südtirol1:1
- 22.08Modena1:2
- 18.09away · Juve Stabia1:1
- 12.09Cremonese2:2
- 06.09Mantova1:1
- 29.08away · Virtus Entella2:1
- 23.08Sampdoria1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Pisa | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Benevento | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Padova | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
Next matches
- BeneventoLR Vicenza17 October · Serie B5326201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- CesenaAvellino18 October · Serie B4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
Serie B on the same day
- 3029412The most likely outcome came true: 22:4Final score 2:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.6
- 4630241The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 4130291The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 2727462The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:2.3.1
- 2829442The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →