Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Argentinos Juniors — Tigre
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Argentinos Juniors to win (47%), came true.
Argentinos Juniors are clear favourites: 47% against 23% for the opponent, draw 31%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Argentinos Juniors are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Tigre: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Argentinos Juniors 2 wins, Tigre 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Argentinos Juniors — Tigre What is xG? | 1.2–0.8 | |
| Argentinos Juniors not to lose | 77% | |
| Tigre not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 31% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 69% |
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Form
- 20.09away · Rosario Central0:1
- 13.09Gimnasia LP1:1
- 08.09away · Barracas Central0:0
- 30.08Aldosivi2:1
- 25.08away · Lanús1:1
- 21.09away · Vélez Sarsfield2:3
- 13.09Rosario Central0:1
- 05.09away · Gimnasia LP1:2
- 01.09Barracas Central0:0
- 25.08Central Córdoba de Santiago2:1
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Tigre — Argentinos Juniors1:1
- 20.07.2025Tigre — Argentinos Juniors2:1
- 31.01.2025Argentinos Juniors — Tigre1:0
- 19.07.2024Argentinos Juniors — Tigre0:2
- 06.03.2023Tigre — Argentinos Juniors0:1
Next matches
- TigreBanfield11 October · Liga Profesional5726171The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
- Club Atlético PlatenseArgentinos Juniors11 October · Liga Profesional343135XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.1.9
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 3031402The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.1
- 5129191The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →