Ghana Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Ashanti Gold — Asante Kotoko SC

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Model prediction for 25 October

Ashanti Gold52%
Draw25%
Asante Kotoko SC22%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ashanti Gold are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Ashanti Gold — No. 5, 10 pts; Asante Kotoko SC — No. 12, 8 pts. A gap of 2 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ashanti Gold — Asante Kotoko SC What is xG?1.5–0.9
Ashanti Gold not to lose78%
Asante Kotoko SC not to lose48%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes44%
Both teams to score: no56%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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  • Handicap Ashanti Gold
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Form

Ashanti Gold

  • 11.10Samartex1:0
  • 04.10away · Heart of Lions2:3
  • 27.09Debibi2:1
  • 20.09away · Holy Stars0:1
  • 12.09Vision FC3:1

Asante Kotoko SC

  • 10.10away · All Blacks0:1
  • 01.10Karela United1:0
  • 27.09Aduana Stars0:2
  • 20.09away · Samartex1:1
  • 13.09Heart of Lions2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Port City63128–5+310
5Ashanti Gold63129–7+210
6Aduana Stars63126–4+210
11Heart of Lions62227–8-18
12Asante Kotoko SC62226–7-18
13Berekum Chelsea62138–9-17

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →