Egyptian Premier League, round 8 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Asyut Petroleum — El Gouna FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Asyut Petroleum 35%, El Gouna FC 30%, draw 35%.
The model expects few goals: 1.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 35%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Asyut Petroleum — No. 16, 5 pts; El Gouna FC — No. 19, 2 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- El Gouna FC: 4 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Asyut Petroleum — El Gouna FC What is xG? | 0.9–0.8 | |
| Asyut Petroleum not to lose | 70% | |
| El Gouna FC not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 35% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 65% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 27% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 73% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Asyut Petroleum
- Asyut Petroleum goals
- El Gouna FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10away · Abo Qir Semad2:1
- 15.09Modern Sport FC0:2
- 07.09away · Al Ittihad Alexandria0:1
- 31.08National Bank0:1
- 26.08away · Smouha SC0:0
- 13.10away · Al Ittihad Alexandria1:2
- 16.09Petrojet-Suez1:2
- 09.09away · Pyramids FC0:1
- 02.09Al Mokawloon Al Arab0:1
- 28.08away · Olympic El Qanah FC1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wadi Degla FC | 6 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Asyut Petroleum | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI | 6 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Abo Qir Semad | 6 | 1 | -8 | 3 |
| 19 | El Gouna FC | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl Al Mahalla | 6 | 0 | -9 | 1 |
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- Al Ittihad AlexandriaTala'ea El Gaishpreliminary393526XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
- Olympic El Qanah FCAl Sharkeyah-ENPPIpreliminary333136XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →