Egyptian Premier League, round 8 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Al Ittihad Alexandria — Tala'ea El Gaish
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Ittihad Alexandria are slightly stronger: 40% against 25%, draw 34%.
1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Ittihad Alexandria — Tala'ea El Gaish What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| Al Ittihad Alexandria not to lose | 75% | |
| Tala'ea El Gaish not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 27% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 73% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Ittihad Alexandria
- Al Ittihad Alexandria goals
- Tala'ea El Gaish goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10El Gouna FC2:1
- 15.09away · Al Masry SC2:0
- 07.09Asyut Petroleum1:0
- 02.09away · Abo Qir Semad2:0
- 28.08Ceramica Cleopatra1:3
- 13.10away · National Bank0:3
- 14.09Smouha SC0:1
- 07.09away · Olympic El Qanah FC1:1
- 01.09ZED FC0:1
- 26.08away · Petrojet-Suez3:2
Head to head
- 13.05.2026Al Ittihad Alexandria — Tala'ea El Gaish1:0
- 06.02.2026Tala'ea El Gaish — Al Ittihad Alexandria0:1
- 28.04.2025Tala'ea El Gaish — Al Ittihad Alexandria1:2
- 30.11.2024Al Ittihad Alexandria — Tala'ea El Gaish0:1
- 04.07.2024Tala'ea El Gaish — Al Ittihad Alexandria0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Modern Sport FC | 6 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 6 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | Smouha SC | 6 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Tala'ea El Gaish | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla FC | 6 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- Asyut PetroleumEl Gouna FCpreliminary353530XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.6
- Olympic El Qanah FCAl Sharkeyah-ENPPIpreliminary333136XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →