La Liga, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Athletic Club — Getafe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Athletic Club are clear favourites: 60% against 15% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Athletic Club are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Athletic Club — Getafe What is xG? | 1.4–0.6 | |
| Athletic Club not to lose | 85% | |
| Getafe not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Athletic Club
- Athletic Club goals
- Getafe goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 19.09Deportivo Alavés0:0
- 12.09Elche1:1
- 05.09Atlético Madrid3:0
- 30.08away · Celta Vigo2:0
- 27.08away · Barcelona0:2
- 10.10away · Barcelona0:3
- 20.09Málaga1:0
- 17.09away · Real Betis0:1
- 13.09Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 07.09Celta Vigo1:1
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Getafe — Athletic Club2:0
- 25.10.2025Athletic Club — Getafe0:1
- 15.05.2025Getafe — Athletic Club0:2
- 15.08.2024Athletic Club — Getafe1:1
- 03.05.2024Getafe — Athletic Club0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
La Liga on the same day
- Celta VigoReal Betispreliminary4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Real SociedadLevantepreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- BarcelonaReal Madridpreliminary6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →